Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Los Angeles → New York via Miami: arrives on time 30%

  1. 10:40 LAX → 19:00 MIA
    AA 3016 · American · 5h 20m · 68% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Miami (MIA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:50 MIA → 23:01 JFK
    AA 1357 · American · 3h 11m · 56% on time, 2.5% cancelled

Total trip 9h 21m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 3 h ahead of Los Angeles). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection54%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 46% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time30%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (54%) × second flight not cancelled (2.5% are) and within 15 minutes (56%).
Total trip9h 21mLAX 10:40 to JFK 23:01, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.