tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Philadelphia → Hartford via Charlotte: arrives on time 42%

  1. 16:55 PHL → 18:58 CLT
    AA 3030 · American · 2h 03m · 72% on time, 10.7% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:48 CLT → 21:48 BDL
    AA 2169 · American · 2h 00m · 66% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 53m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 28 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection72%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 28% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time42%First flight not cancelled (10.7% are) × connection made (72%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (66%).
Total trip4h 53mPHL 16:55 to BDL 21:48, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.