tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Philadelphia → Memphis via Charlotte: arrives on time 57%

  1. 16:55 PHL → 18:58 CLT
    AA 3030 · American · 2h 03m · 72% on time, 10.7% cancelled
  2. 3h 52m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:50 CLT → 23:38 MEM
    AA 2392 · American · 1h 49m · 64% on time, 1.3% cancelled

Total trip 7h 44m, scheduled departure to arrival (Memphis is 1 h behind Philadelphia). Times are local. Both flew on 28 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 187 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 52m layover.
Arrives on time57%First flight not cancelled (10.7% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (1.3% are) and within 15 minutes (64%).
Total trip7h 44mPHL 16:55 to MEM 23:38, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.