tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Philadelphia → Richmond via Atlanta: arrives on time 74%

  1. 17:35 PHL → 19:55 ATL
    AA 3041 · American · 2h 20m · 69% on time, 2.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 15m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 23:10 ATL → 00:51 RIC +1 day
    DL 1175 · Delta · 1h 43m · 82% on time, 2.9% cancelled

Total trip 7h 18m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 23 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 105 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 15m layover.
Arrives on time74%First flight not cancelled (2.0% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (2.9% are) and within 15 minutes (82%).
Total trip7h 18mPHL 17:35 to RIC 00:51, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.