tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Philadelphia → Louisville via Atlanta: arrives on time 77%

  1. 17:35 PHL → 19:55 ATL
    AA 3041 · American · 2h 20m · 69% on time, 2.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 07m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 23:02 ATL → 00:26 SDF +1 day
    DL 2624 · Delta · 1h 26m · 85% on time, 1.8% cancelled

Total trip 6h 53m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection94%The first flight arrived more than 97 minutes late on 6% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 07m layover.
Arrives on time77%First flight not cancelled (2.0% are) × connection made (94%) × second flight not cancelled (1.8% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip6h 53mPHL 17:35 to SDF 00:26, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.