tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Philadelphia → Sarasota/Bradenton via Atlanta: arrives on time 71%

  1. 17:35 PHL → 19:55 ATL
    AA 3041 · American · 2h 20m · 69% on time, 2.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 12m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 23:07 ATL → 00:49 SRQ +1 day
    DL 2997 · Delta · 1h 38m · 78% on time, 2.6% cancelled

Total trip 7h 10m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 46 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 102 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 12m layover.
Arrives on time71%First flight not cancelled (2.0% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (2.6% are) and within 15 minutes (78%).
Total trip7h 10mPHL 17:35 to SRQ 00:49, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.