tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Charlotte → Traverse City via Philadelphia: arrives on time 61%

  1. 07:55 CLT → 09:41 PHL
    AA 3046 · American · 1h 46m · 87% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 49m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:30 PHL → 12:47 TVC
    AA 5480 · American, flown by PSA · 2h 17m · 81% on time, 2.8% cancelled

Total trip 4h 52m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection77%The first flight arrived more than 4 minutes late on 23% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 49m layover.
Arrives on time61%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (77%) × second flight not cancelled (2.8% are) and within 15 minutes (81%).
Total trip4h 52mCLT 07:55 to TVC 12:47, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.