tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Charlotte → Fayetteville/Springdale/ via Philadelphia: arrives on time 56%

  1. 07:55 CLT → 09:41 PHL
    AA 3046 · American · 1h 46m · 87% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 47m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:28 PHL → 12:31 XNA
    AA 5543 · American, flown by PSA · 3h 03m · 80% on time, 7.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 36m, scheduled departure to arrival (Fayetteville/Springdale/ is 1 h behind Charlotte). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection75%The first flight arrived more than 2 minutes late on 25% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 47m layover.
Arrives on time56%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (75%) × second flight not cancelled (7.0% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip5h 36mCLT 07:55 to XNA 12:31, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.