tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Key West → Philadelphia via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 34%

  1. 14:21 EYW → 16:33 DFW
    AA 305 · American · 3h 12m · 72% on time, 2.8% cancelled
  2. 57m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:30 DFW → 22:17 PHL
    AA 991 · American · 3h 47m · 52% on time, 3.3% cancelled

Total trip 7h 56m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 30 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection70%The first flight arrived more than 12 minutes late on 30% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 57m layover.
Arrives on time34%First flight not cancelled (2.8% are) × connection made (70%) × second flight not cancelled (3.3% are) and within 15 minutes (52%).
Total trip7h 56mEYW 14:21 to PHL 22:17, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.