Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Tulsa via New York: arrives on time 38%

  1. 15:03 ORD → 18:20 LGA
    AA 3050 · American · 2h 20m · 65% on time, 13.6% cancelled
  2. 1h 09m layover in New York (LGA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:29 LGA → 22:05 TUL
    AA 4341 · American, flown by Republic · 3h 36m · 67% on time, 7.2% cancelled

Total trip 7h 02m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection71%The first flight arrived more than 24 minutes late on 29% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 09m layover.
Arrives on time38%First flight not cancelled (13.6% are) × connection made (71%) × second flight not cancelled (7.2% are) and within 15 minutes (67%).
Total trip7h 02mORD 15:03 to TUL 22:05, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.