tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Rapid City via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 74%

  1. 09:40 ORD → 12:13 DFW
    AA 3052 · American · 2h 33m · 82% on time, 5.6% cancelled
  2. 2h 45m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:58 DFW → 16:20 RAP
    AA 3762 · American, flown by Envoy · 2h 22m · 81% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 7h 40m, scheduled departure to arrival (Rapid City is 1 h behind Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 53 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 120 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 45m layover.
Arrives on time74%First flight not cancelled (5.6% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (81%).
Total trip7h 40mORD 09:40 to RAP 16:20, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.