tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Miami → Fayetteville/Springdale/ via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 45%

  1. 11:00 MIA → 13:18 DFW
    AA 3055 · American · 3h 15m · 74% on time, 1.5% cancelled
  2. 48m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:06 DFW → 15:27 XNA
    AA 3840 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 21m · 79% on time, 2.5% cancelled

Total trip 5h 27m, scheduled departure to arrival (Fayetteville/Springdale/ is 1 h behind Miami). Times are local. Both flew on 30 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection58%The first flight arrived more than 3 minutes late on 42% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 48m layover.
Arrives on time45%First flight not cancelled (1.5% are) × connection made (58%) × second flight not cancelled (2.5% are) and within 15 minutes (79%).
Total trip5h 27mMIA 11:00 to XNA 15:27, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.