tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Sacramento → Denver via Chicago: arrives on time 69%

  1. 23:10 SMF → 05:36 ORD
    AA 3060 · American · 4h 23m · 94% on time, 1.9% cancelled
  2. 1h 05m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 06:41 ORD → 08:24 DEN +1 day
    AA 1747 · American · 2h 43m · 75% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 14m, scheduled departure to arrival (Denver is 1 h ahead of Sacramento). Times are local. Both flew on 39 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection94%The first flight arrived more than 20 minutes late on 6% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 05m layover.
Arrives on time69%First flight not cancelled (1.9% are) × connection made (94%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (75%).
Total trip8h 14mSMF 23:10 to DEN 08:24, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.