tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Sacramento → Charlotte via Chicago: arrives on time 74%

  1. 23:10 SMF → 05:36 ORD
    AA 3060 · American · 4h 23m · 94% on time, 1.9% cancelled
  2. 54m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 06:30 ORD → 09:37 CLT +1 day
    AA 1784 · American · 2h 07m · 84% on time, 2.5% cancelled

Total trip 7h 27m, scheduled departure to arrival (Charlotte is 3 h ahead of Sacramento). Times are local. Both flew on 39 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection92%The first flight arrived more than 9 minutes late on 8% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 54m layover.
Arrives on time74%First flight not cancelled (1.9% are) × connection made (92%) × second flight not cancelled (2.5% are) and within 15 minutes (84%).
Total trip7h 27mSMF 23:10 to CLT 09:37, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.