tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Madison via Chicago: arrives on time 73%

  1. 05:30 PHX → 11:05 ORD
    AA 3062 · American · 3h 35m · 92% on time, 7.1% cancelled
  2. 3h 15m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:20 ORD → 15:24 MSN
    AA 4038 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 04m · 82% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 54m, scheduled departure to arrival (Madison is 2 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 0 of the last 56 days, too few to list among the best connections.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 150 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 15m layover.
Arrives on time73%First flight not cancelled (7.1% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (82%).
Total trip7h 54mPHX 05:30 to MSN 15:24, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.