tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Juan → Providence via Philadelphia: arrives on time 53%

  1. 07:00 SJU → 11:04 PHL
    AA 3063 · American · 4h 04m · 85% on time, 3.5% cancelled
  2. 2h 03m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:07 PHL → 14:29 PVD
    AA 5189 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 22m · 63% on time, 10.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 29m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 30 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 78 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 03m layover.
Arrives on time53%First flight not cancelled (3.5% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (10.0% are) and within 15 minutes (63%).
Total trip7h 29mSJU 07:00 to PVD 14:29, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.