tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Miami → San Francisco via Los Angeles: arrives on time 70%

  1. 17:30 MIA → 20:13 LAX
    AA 3066 · American · 5h 43m · 68% on time, 1.2% cancelled
  2. 2h 19m layover in Los Angeles (LAX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:32 LAX → 23:59 SFO
    AA 6510 · American, flown by SkyWest · 1h 27m · 81% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 9h 29m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Francisco is 3 h behind Miami). Times are local. Both flew on 31 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection88%The first flight arrived more than 94 minutes late on 12% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 19m layover.
Arrives on time70%First flight not cancelled (1.2% are) × connection made (88%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (81%).
Total trip9h 29mMIA 17:30 to SFO 23:59, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.