Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Philadelphia → Providence via Chicago: arrives on time 63%

  1. 07:39 PHL → 09:08 ORD
    AA 3074 · American · 2h 28m · 82% on time, 2.9% cancelled
  2. 1h 37m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 10:45 ORD → 14:25 PVD
    UA 4703 · United, flown by SkyWest · 2h 40m · 87% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 6h 46m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection75%The first flight arrived more than 7 minutes late on 25% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 1h 37m layover.
Arrives on time63%First flight not cancelled (2.9% are) × connection made (75%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (87%).
Total trip6h 46mPHL 07:39 to PVD 14:25, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.