tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dallas-Fort Worth → Dayton via Chicago: arrives on time 76%

  1. 06:00 DFW → 08:39 ORD
    AA 3075 · American · 2h 39m · 80% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 56m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:35 ORD → 11:59 DAY
    AA 3786 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 24m · 100% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 59m, scheduled departure to arrival (Dayton is 1 h ahead of Dallas-Fort Worth). Times are local. Both flew on 26 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection76%The first flight arrived more than 11 minutes late on 24% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 56m layover.
Arrives on time76%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (76%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (100%).
Total trip4h 59mDFW 06:00 to DAY 11:59, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.