tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dallas-Fort Worth → Sioux Falls via Chicago: arrives on time 58%

  1. 06:00 DFW → 08:39 ORD
    AA 3075 · American · 2h 39m · 80% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 01m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:40 ORD → 11:34 FSD
    AA 4989 · American, flown by SkyWest · 2h 00m · 72% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 40m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection81%The first flight arrived more than 16 minutes late on 19% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 01m layover.
Arrives on time58%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (81%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (72%).
Total trip5h 40mDFW 06:00 to FSD 11:34, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.