tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Indianapolis → San Diego via Phoenix: arrives on time 41%

  1. 18:41 IND → 19:23 PHX
    AA 3078 · American · 3h 42m · 69% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 57m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:20 PHX → 21:34 SAN
    AA 559 · American · 1h 14m · 62% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 53m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Diego is 3 h behind Indianapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection66%The first flight arrived more than 12 minutes late on 34% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 57m layover.
Arrives on time41%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (66%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (62%).
Total trip5h 53mIND 18:41 to SAN 21:34, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.