tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dallas-Fort Worth → Richmond via Miami: arrives on time 48%

  1. 15:39 DFW → 19:40 MIA
    AA 3083 · American · 3h 01m · 46% on time, 2.2% cancelled
  2. 1h 29m layover in Miami (MIA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:09 MIA → 23:37 RIC
    AA 983 · American · 2h 28m · 72% on time, 0.6% cancelled

Total trip 6h 58m, scheduled departure to arrival (Richmond is 1 h ahead of Dallas-Fort Worth). Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection68%The first flight arrived more than 44 minutes late on 32% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 29m layover.
Arrives on time48%First flight not cancelled (2.2% are) × connection made (68%) × second flight not cancelled (0.6% are) and within 15 minutes (72%).
Total trip6h 58mDFW 15:39 to RIC 23:37, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.