tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Dulles via Charlotte: arrives on time 79%

  1. 06:00 LGA → 07:58 CLT
    AA 3084 · American · 1h 58m · 96% on time, 1.6% cancelled
  2. 3h 07m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:05 CLT → 12:38 IAD
    AA 5220 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 33m · 84% on time, 2.8% cancelled

Total trip 6h 38m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 142 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 07m layover.
Arrives on time79%First flight not cancelled (1.6% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (2.8% are) and within 15 minutes (84%).
Total trip6h 38mLGA 06:00 to IAD 12:38, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.