tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Nashville → Las Vegas via Phoenix: arrives on time 78%

  1. 07:28 BNA → 09:13 PHX
    AA 3086 · American · 3h 45m · 81% on time, 0.5% cancelled
  2. 1h 11m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:24 PHX → 11:37 LAS
    AA 2037 · American · 1h 13m · 90% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 09m, scheduled departure to arrival (Las Vegas is 2 h behind Nashville). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection87%The first flight arrived more than 26 minutes late on 13% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 11m layover.
Arrives on time78%First flight not cancelled (0.5% are) × connection made (87%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (90%).
Total trip6h 09mBNA 07:28 to LAS 11:37, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.