tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dallas-Fort Worth → Tampa via New York: arrives on time 26%

  1. 10:30 DFW → 15:03 LGA
    AA 3088 · American · 3h 33m · 53% on time, 6.5% cancelled
  2. 57m layover in New York (LGA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:00 LGA → 19:00 TPA
    AA 2845 · American · 3h 00m · 56% on time, 2.8% cancelled

Total trip 7h 30m, scheduled departure to arrival (Tampa is 1 h ahead of Dallas-Fort Worth). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection52%The first flight arrived more than 12 minutes late on 48% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 57m layover.
Arrives on time26%First flight not cancelled (6.5% are) × connection made (52%) × second flight not cancelled (2.8% are) and within 15 minutes (56%).
Total trip7h 30mDFW 10:30 to TPA 19:00, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.