tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dallas-Fort Worth → Buffalo via New York: arrives on time 33%

  1. 10:30 DFW → 15:03 LGA
    AA 3088 · American · 3h 33m · 53% on time, 6.5% cancelled
  2. 1h 05m layover in New York (LGA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:08 LGA → 17:48 BUF
    AA 4378 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 40m · 67% on time, 9.7% cancelled

Total trip 6h 18m, scheduled departure to arrival (Buffalo is 1 h ahead of Dallas-Fort Worth). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection58%The first flight arrived more than 20 minutes late on 42% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 05m layover.
Arrives on time33%First flight not cancelled (6.5% are) × connection made (58%) × second flight not cancelled (9.7% are) and within 15 minutes (67%).
Total trip6h 18mDFW 10:30 to BUF 17:48, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.