tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

St Louis → New Orleans via Washington: arrives on time 60%

  1. 06:43 STL → 09:46 DCA
    AA 309 · American · 2h 03m · 91% on time, 8.3% cancelled
  2. 1h 59m layover in Washington (DCA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:45 DCA → 13:27 MSY
    AA 3175 · American · 2h 42m · 70% on time, 6.6% cancelled

Total trip 6h 44m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 20 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 74 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 59m layover.
Arrives on time60%First flight not cancelled (8.3% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (6.6% are) and within 15 minutes (70%).
Total trip6h 44mSTL 06:43 to MSY 13:27, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.