tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

St Louis → Raleigh/Durham via Washington: arrives on time 80%

  1. 06:43 STL → 09:46 DCA
    AA 309 · American · 2h 03m · 91% on time, 8.3% cancelled
  2. 1h 38m layover in Washington (DCA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:24 DCA → 12:44 RDU
    AA 4700 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 20m · 88% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 01m, scheduled departure to arrival (Raleigh/Durham is 1 h ahead of St Louis). Times are local. Both flew on 20 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 53 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 38m layover.
Arrives on time80%First flight not cancelled (8.3% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (88%).
Total trip5h 01mSTL 06:43 to RDU 12:44, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.