tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Tulsa → Nashville via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 49%

  1. 07:47 TUL → 09:12 DFW
    AA 3095 · American · 1h 25m · 75% on time, 2.4% cancelled
  2. 48m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:00 DFW → 11:53 BNA
    AA 1520 · American · 1h 53m · 78% on time, 4.2% cancelled

Total trip 4h 06m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection67%The first flight arrived more than 3 minutes late on 33% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 48m layover.
Arrives on time49%First flight not cancelled (2.4% are) × connection made (67%) × second flight not cancelled (4.2% are) and within 15 minutes (78%).
Total trip4h 06mTUL 07:47 to BNA 11:53, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.