tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Hebron via Chicago: arrives on time 77%

  1. 09:44 LGA → 11:30 ORD
    AA 3100 · American · 2h 46m · 79% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 3h 53m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:23 ORD → 17:55 CVG
    AA 3950 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 32m · 80% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 11m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 188 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 53m layover.
Arrives on time77%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip8h 11mLGA 09:44 to CVG 17:55, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.