tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dallas-Fort Worth → Jacksonville via Washington: arrives on time 20%

  1. 14:56 DFW → 18:59 DCA
    AA 3101 · American · 3h 03m · 54% on time, 4.2% cancelled
  2. 1h 01m layover in Washington (DCA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:00 DCA → 22:11 JAX
    AA 5547 · American, flown by PSA · 2h 10m · 48% on time, 19.4% cancelled

Total trip 6h 14m, scheduled departure to arrival (Jacksonville is 1 h ahead of Dallas-Fort Worth). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection55%The first flight arrived more than 16 minutes late on 45% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 01m layover.
Arrives on time20%First flight not cancelled (4.2% are) × connection made (55%) × second flight not cancelled (19.4% are) and within 15 minutes (48%).
Total trip6h 14mDFW 14:56 to JAX 22:11, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.