tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dallas-Fort Worth → Birmingham via Washington: arrives on time 28%

  1. 14:56 DFW → 18:59 DCA
    AA 3101 · American · 3h 03m · 54% on time, 4.2% cancelled
  2. 1h 16m layover in Washington (DCA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:15 DCA → 21:28 BHM
    AA 5643 · American, flown by PSA · 2h 13m · 52% on time, 17.1% cancelled

Total trip 6h 32m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection68%The first flight arrived more than 31 minutes late on 32% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 16m layover.
Arrives on time28%First flight not cancelled (4.2% are) × connection made (68%) × second flight not cancelled (17.1% are) and within 15 minutes (52%).
Total trip6h 32mDFW 14:56 to BHM 21:28, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.