Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026
New York → Chicago via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 28%
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17:01 LGA → 20:10 DFWAA 3103 · American · 4h 09m · 60% on time, 10.4% cancelled
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50m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
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21:00 DFW → 23:39 ORDAA 2346 · American · 2h 39m · 63% on time, 5.9% cancelled
Total trip 7h 38m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 1 h behind New York). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.
Makes the connection52%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 48% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time28%First flight not cancelled (10.4% are) × connection made (52%) × second flight not cancelled (5.9% are) and within 15 minutes (63%).
Total trip7h 38mLGA 17:01 to ORD 23:39, layover included
Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.
Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.