tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Houston → San Antonio via Chicago: arrives on time 57%

  1. 06:13 IAH → 09:07 ORD
    AA 3106 · American · 2h 54m · 89% on time, 5.4% cancelled
  2. 53m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:00 ORD → 12:50 SAT
    AA 2486 · American · 2h 50m · 72% on time, 1.6% cancelled

Total trip 6h 37m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection86%The first flight arrived more than 8 minutes late on 14% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 53m layover.
Arrives on time57%First flight not cancelled (5.4% are) × connection made (86%) × second flight not cancelled (1.6% are) and within 15 minutes (72%).
Total trip6h 37mIAH 06:13 to SAT 12:50, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.