tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Houston → New York via Chicago: arrives on time 69%

  1. 06:13 IAH → 09:07 ORD
    AA 3106 · American · 2h 54m · 89% on time, 5.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 44m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:51 ORD → 14:30 JFK
    AA 4350 · American, flown by Republic · 2h 39m · 85% on time, 10.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 17m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 1 h ahead of Houston). Times are local. Both flew on 30 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 59 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 44m layover.
Arrives on time69%First flight not cancelled (5.4% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (10.0% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip7h 17mIAH 06:13 to JFK 14:30, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.