tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Philadelphia → Los Angeles via Boston: arrives on time 24%

  1. 15:20 PHL → 16:47 BOS
    AA 3116 · American · 1h 27m · 47% on time, 5.6% cancelled
  2. 46m layover in Boston (BOS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:33 BOS → 20:55 LAX
    AA 1578 · American · 6h 22m · 67% on time, 1.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 35m, scheduled departure to arrival (Los Angeles is 3 h behind Philadelphia). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection39%The first flight arrived more than 1 minutes late on 61% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 46m layover.
Arrives on time24%First flight not cancelled (5.6% are) × connection made (39%) × second flight not cancelled (1.0% are) and within 15 minutes (67%).
Total trip8h 35mPHL 15:20 to LAX 20:55, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.