tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Philadelphia → Hebron via Boston: arrives on time 47%

  1. 15:20 PHL → 16:47 BOS
    AA 3116 · American · 1h 27m · 47% on time, 5.6% cancelled
  2. 1h 33m layover in Boston (BOS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:20 BOS → 21:00 CVG
    AA 3408 · American, flown by Envoy · 2h 40m · 71% on time, 0.6% cancelled

Total trip 5h 40m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection69%The first flight arrived more than 48 minutes late on 31% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 33m layover.
Arrives on time47%First flight not cancelled (5.6% are) × connection made (69%) × second flight not cancelled (0.6% are) and within 15 minutes (71%).
Total trip5h 40mPHL 15:20 to CVG 21:00, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.