tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dallas-Fort Worth → New York via Miami: arrives on time 20%

  1. 12:45 DFW → 16:43 MIA
    AA 3117 · American · 2h 58m · 51% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 07m layover in Miami (MIA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:50 MIA → 20:58 LGA
    AA 3128 · American · 3h 08m · 38% on time, 8.5% cancelled

Total trip 7h 13m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 1 h ahead of Dallas-Fort Worth). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection58%The first flight arrived more than 22 minutes late on 42% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 07m layover.
Arrives on time20%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (58%) × second flight not cancelled (8.5% are) and within 15 minutes (38%).
Total trip7h 13mDFW 12:45 to LGA 20:58, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.