tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dallas-Fort Worth → Tampa via Miami: arrives on time 33%

  1. 12:45 DFW → 16:43 MIA
    AA 3117 · American · 2h 58m · 51% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 57m layover in Miami (MIA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:40 MIA → 18:52 TPA
    AA 3555 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 12m · 71% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 07m, scheduled departure to arrival (Tampa is 1 h ahead of Dallas-Fort Worth). Times are local. Both flew on 21 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection46%The first flight arrived more than 12 minutes late on 54% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 57m layover.
Arrives on time33%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (46%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (71%).
Total trip5h 07mDFW 12:45 to TPA 18:52, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.