tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Newark → Dallas-Fort Worth via Miami: arrives on time 35%

  1. 18:30 EWR → 21:55 MIA
    AA 3119 · American · 3h 25m · 75% on time, 6.9% cancelled
  2. 54m layover in Miami (MIA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:49 MIA → 00:59 DFW +1 day
    AA 2343 · American · 3h 10m · 55% on time, 5.6% cancelled

Total trip 7h 29m, scheduled departure to arrival (Dallas-Fort Worth is 1 h behind Newark). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection73%The first flight arrived more than 9 minutes late on 27% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 54m layover.
Arrives on time35%First flight not cancelled (6.9% are) × connection made (73%) × second flight not cancelled (5.6% are) and within 15 minutes (55%).
Total trip7h 29mEWR 18:30 to DFW 00:59, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.