tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Miami → Wilmington via Charlotte: arrives on time 54%

  1. 19:10 MIA → 21:26 CLT
    AA 3131 · American · 2h 16m · 65% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 14m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:40 CLT → 23:49 ILM
    AA 1017 · American · 1h 08m · 72% on time, 0.6% cancelled

Total trip 4h 38m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection77%The first flight arrived more than 29 minutes late on 23% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 14m layover.
Arrives on time54%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (77%) × second flight not cancelled (0.6% are) and within 15 minutes (72%).
Total trip4h 38mMIA 19:10 to ILM 23:49, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.