tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Miami → Birmingham via Charlotte: arrives on time 43%

  1. 19:10 MIA → 21:26 CLT
    AA 3131 · American · 2h 16m · 65% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 02m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:28 CLT → 23:00 BHM
    AA 362 · American · 1h 32m · 66% on time, 2.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 50m, scheduled departure to arrival (Birmingham is 1 h behind Miami). Times are local. Both flew on 39 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection68%The first flight arrived more than 17 minutes late on 32% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 02m layover.
Arrives on time43%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (68%) × second flight not cancelled (2.0% are) and within 15 minutes (66%).
Total trip4h 50mMIA 19:10 to BHM 23:00, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.