tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Miami → Hebron via Charlotte: arrives on time 45%

  1. 19:10 MIA → 21:26 CLT
    AA 3131 · American · 2h 16m · 65% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 03m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:29 CLT → 23:57 CVG
    AA 626 · American · 1h 28m · 67% on time, 1.6% cancelled

Total trip 4h 47m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection69%The first flight arrived more than 18 minutes late on 31% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 03m layover.
Arrives on time45%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (69%) × second flight not cancelled (1.6% are) and within 15 minutes (67%).
Total trip4h 47mMIA 19:10 to CVG 23:57, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.