tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Philadelphia → St Louis via Charlotte: arrives on time 80%

  1. 06:00 PHL → 07:53 CLT
    AA 3139 · American · 1h 53m · 94% on time, 2.5% cancelled
  2. 3h 07m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:00 CLT → 11:59 STL
    AA 2717 · American · 1h 58m · 83% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 58m, scheduled departure to arrival (St Louis is 1 h behind Philadelphia). Times are local. Both flew on 53 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 142 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 07m layover.
Arrives on time80%First flight not cancelled (2.5% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (83%).
Total trip6h 58mPHL 06:00 to STL 11:59, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.