tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Philadelphia → Tampa via Charlotte: arrives on time 81%

  1. 06:00 PHL → 07:53 CLT
    AA 3139 · American · 1h 53m · 94% on time, 2.5% cancelled
  2. 1h 22m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:15 CLT → 11:04 TPA
    AA 2828 · American · 1h 49m · 85% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 04m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 37 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 22m layover.
Arrives on time81%First flight not cancelled (2.5% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip5h 04mPHL 06:00 to TPA 11:04, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.