tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Philadelphia → Richmond via Charlotte: arrives on time 88%

  1. 06:00 PHL → 07:53 CLT
    AA 3139 · American · 1h 53m · 94% on time, 2.5% cancelled
  2. 3h 12m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:05 CLT → 12:28 RIC
    AA 5199 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 23m · 90% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 28m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 26 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 147 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 12m layover.
Arrives on time88%First flight not cancelled (2.5% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (90%).
Total trip6h 28mPHL 06:00 to RIC 12:28, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.