tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Philadelphia → Wilmington via Charlotte: arrives on time 84%

  1. 06:00 PHL → 07:53 CLT
    AA 3139 · American · 1h 53m · 94% on time, 2.5% cancelled
  2. 3h 22m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:15 CLT → 12:33 ILM
    AA 5822 · American, flown by Piedmont · 1h 18m · 88% on time, 1.6% cancelled

Total trip 6h 33m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 47 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 157 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 22m layover.
Arrives on time84%First flight not cancelled (2.5% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (1.6% are) and within 15 minutes (88%).
Total trip6h 33mPHL 06:00 to ILM 12:33, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.