tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Philadelphia → Chicago via Charlotte: arrives on time 93%

  1. 06:00 PHL → 07:53 CLT
    AA 3139 · American · 1h 53m · 94% on time, 2.5% cancelled
  2. 3h 42m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 11:35 CLT → 12:35 MDW
    WN 4529 · Southwest · 2h 00m · 96% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 35m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 1 h behind Philadelphia). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 132 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 42m layover.
Arrives on time93%First flight not cancelled (2.5% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (96%).
Total trip7h 35mPHL 06:00 to MDW 12:35, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.