tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Philadelphia → Dulles via Charlotte: arrives on time 83%

  1. 06:00 PHL → 07:53 CLT
    AA 3139 · American · 1h 53m · 94% on time, 2.5% cancelled
  2. 2h 34m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 10:27 CLT → 11:55 IAD
    UA 4012 · United, flown by Mesa · 1h 28m · 85% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 55m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 64 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 34m layover.
Arrives on time83%First flight not cancelled (2.5% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip5h 55mPHL 06:00 to IAD 11:55, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.