Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026
Detroit → Santa Ana via Phoenix: arrives on time 45%
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08:11 DTW → 09:24 PHXAA 3141 · American · 4h 13m · 81% on time, 0.0% cancelled
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51m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
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10:15 PHX → 11:43 SNAAA 2655 · American · 1h 28m · 62% on time, 0.0% cancelled
Total trip 6h 32m, scheduled departure to arrival (Santa Ana is 3 h behind Detroit). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.
Makes the connection73%The first flight arrived more than 6 minutes late on 27% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 51m layover.
Arrives on time45%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (73%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (62%).
Total trip6h 32mDTW 08:11 to SNA 11:43, layover included
Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.
Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.